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Ireland: Steady as she goes

The Key Facts The recent Irish election is likely to result in a Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael coalition government, possibly supported by Independents. They fell just short of a majority, with 48 and 38 seats respectively. A coalition agreement is expected by mid-January at the latest.

Why This Matters:  This outcome suggests policy continuity and a stable business environment. No significant changes are anticipated in labour laws or trade union recognition. The implementation of the EU's Adequate Minimum Wage Directive is likely to remain unchanged. However, potential US policies under a Trump administration could impact multinational companies in Ireland, particularly in the IT and pharma sectors.

What Happens Next: Coalition negotiations will take place between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, followed by talks with Independents to secure a majority. Once formed, the new government will develop a program outlining their policies, including those on labour and employment.

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Authors: Tom Hayes, Derek Mooney

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